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Iran (Persia) has become a hot topic in the United States and as well as throughout the world. This notoriety is not because of Iranian achievement, but because of allegations of Iran having weapons of mass destruction mainly the Nuclear weapons.
The Bush administration argues that Iran is on the verge of having nuclear weapons as they alleged the same with Iraq and we all know how that turned out to be. Having this argument, the US administration is preparing the public’s mind for a possible invasion or attack on Iran.
By any stretch of imagination, attacking Iran is a scary scenario. It is scary for Iranians whom untold numbers may be killed, and scary for Americans, because it will further isolate United States from the rest of the world and this time for sure, as Iran has lots of friends around the world, well there are not Iran’s friends, but trading partners such as; France, United Kingdom, Germany, Japan, China, Russia, Italy, South Korea and many more. These countries do not like to see any attack or invasion of Iran and will most likely take certain actions to defuse US posture.
Does Iran have Nuclear weapons? The answer is “No.”, not because this author has visited the nuclear facilities in Iran or know from first hand, but because the United Nations Nuclear Inspectors under the leadership of Dr. Baradi says so. They are in a much better position to judge on the capability of Iran’s nuclear facilities, than anyone else. This is because they have inspected the facilities and are experts in understanding and investigating the presence of such weapons.
United States has made some wild allegations that Iran is building nuclear weapons and must abandon their activities. Iran and many other countries claim that any nuclear activities are for energy and peaceful purposes.
History has shown many times that when a country is attacked by foreign forces, the people of the country being attack rally behind their government regardless how much they may despise that government, as no patriot likes to be attacked by foreign forces.
The irony to all these is that many Iranians living in US are very much in support of attacking Iran without fully understanding the ramifications of their standings.
These groups believe that by attacking Iran the Iranian regime will be overthrown and Iranians will be liberated.
Attacking Iran under any scenario is a “Bad Idea”.
History has shown many times that when a country is attacked by foreign forces, the people of the country being attack rally behind their government regardless how much they may despise that government, as no patriot likes to be attacked by foreign forces.
Furthermore, attacking Iran will cause the neighboring countries as well as other countries that feel somewhat alienated towards US to prepare themselves militarily which means building and amassing weapons including weapons of mass destruction.
Therefore, if the goal of attack on Iran is to remove the current regime, it is most likely going to back fire and allow the regime to solidify its position, as we have already witnessed such solidarity with the recent mass demonstration in Tehran against the US, when it was announced the US plans to attack Iran. It will take many more years for Iranians start despising the regime again.
Also attacking Iran will cause the current regime mobilize their forces including Hezbollah which was creation of Ayatollah Khomeini and his regime to attack US interests throughout the world which makes the world specially United States and its people less safe.
Furthermore, attacking Iran will cause the neighboring countries as well as other countries that feel somewhat alienated towards US to prepare themselves militarily which means building and amassing weapons including weapons of mass destruction. This obliviously not only does not make the world safer, but in fact will have the opposite effect of the goal set by Bush Administration that is to make the world a safer place and get rid of weapons of mass destructions.
Attacking Iran will also create a riff internationally between US and her allies as well as those countries, which have beneficial political and/or economical relationship with Iran.
Supporting Iranian Oppositions both inside and outside of Iran is the most effective and least costly both in terms of Dollars and Politics, method to achieve that goal.
Attacking Iran will also would cause Russia, China to take steps to improve and expand their military power, as they would see the US an eventual threat to their interests. Again this will make the world less safe.
Attacking Iran may cause the Iranian government to take action to bring the production of oil or its export in the region to a halt. It should be remembered that most of the Persian Oil export is done through Strait of Hormuz which could easily be blocked and creating an energy nightmare for the West.
If the United States truly desires to eliminate the risk of weapons of mass destruction in the wrong hands, then it should take actions, which not only eliminate this thread, but also brings peace and stability to that country. This could only be accomplished through peaceful means, where no one will think of revenge or sabotage.
Supporting Iranian Oppositions both inside and outside of Iran is the most effective and least costly both in terms of Dollars and Politics, method to achieve that goal.
The United States attacked Iraq under pretext of having WMD, but in reality the aim has been control of Iraqi’s oil fields, that is why the only building that the US forces were order to protect was the Oil Minister despite the fact that this building was on the bottom of the list of buildings to be protected.
Bombing does not solve any problem. The US will bomb the Iranian Nuclear facilities. Iran then will rebuild them, but this time in a more remote and difficult area to reach, then what US is going to do? For how long can US continue to bomb other countries with or without good cause? The answer should be not for too long.
So if these arguments make sense then why US still plans to attack Iran? The answer could be perhaps it is not because of WMD, but something else, like OIL!
Attacking Iran and invasion of Iran specially southern borders where the oil fields are will give the United States the monopoly of oil throughout the world as most of the world’s oil demand is extracted and shipped from Persian Gulf. The United States already has military presence in Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Dubai, United Arab Emirates and having military presence in Iran will complete the control of Persian Gulf and world’s oil need. With such control comes political and economic powers that the United States would use to promote its agenda.
This approach has already being used once, that is, in Iraq. The United States attacked Iraq under pretext of having WMD, but in reality the aim has been control of Iraqi’s oil fields, that is why the only building that the US forces were order to protect was the Oil Minister despite the fact that this building was on the bottom of the list of buildings to be protected. The number one building to be protected was Iraq’s Museum and then the Library, but as we all witnessed, they were the least concerns of the US and were looted and burnt which resulted in the loss of some of the most precious and oldest artifacts and manuscript which identified our humanity and our existence as mankind.
Those Iranians who support the US attack in Iran are not thinking properly and have failed to understand the full ramification of such attack as well as the devastation that comes with such attack. As we have witnessed in Iraq.
United States has been relying to some certain extent on the intelligence provided by the Iranian Oppositions group hoping that they will fall on the good side of the US government and when the Iranian regime falls, they will lead the country. Sounds familiar? It should be. Remember Ahmad Chalabi who also allegedly gave false information about Saddam’s weapons productions capabilities, which happened to be totally false. But this caused the US attacked Iraq and Ahmad Chalabi was in line to become the leader of Iraq till thing went wrong for him and lost the opportunity to be Iraqi’s leader.
Iranian Mojahedin as well as other opposing groups have been feeding the US government with information about the WMD in Iran which are not necessarily true, as these groups have conflict of interests in what they are reporting, since they are using the US power for their own means and not necessarily for the good of the Iranians, Iran, or the United States. Ahmad Chalabi and others used US for their goals and some of the Iranian oppositions and Mojahedin may be doing the same.
Those Iranians who support the US attack in Iran are not thinking properly and have failed to understand the full ramification of such attack as well as the devastation that comes with such attack. As we have witnessed in Iraq.
As stated earlier there are better ways of opposing the Iranian regime which not only saves lives, but also cost much less and prevents destruction of the infrastructures in Iran which has cost the county billions of dollars to build and is Iranian capital and assets. Iran is still recovering from the war with Iraq, let’s not put her through another one. Let’s not throw out the baby with water.
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